Retired November 2025 – 9:25

The Week Behind Despite last week’s strong macroeconomic data validating the Fed’s hawkish tilt, the major indices managed a decent overall performance. While the Dow declined by approximately 1% and the S&P 500 remained flat, the NASDAQ surged 2.5% thanks to impressive quarters from Nvidia and Marvell boosting technology stocks further. Highlights  The Only Two…

The Week Behind Despite CPI falling below Fed Funds and PPI suggesting that CPI has further to fall, the stock market faced a challenging week as the debt ceiling, the Fed, and the regional banks brought recession into focus. Despite this, the NASDAQ managed to eke out a 0.40% gain thanks to continued momentum in…

The Week Behind Uncertainty in the labor market created by conflicting data and the Fed’s apparent disconnect from the regional bank situation catalyzed bearish price action throughout the week. However, with major known obstacles – First Republic, the FOMC Meeting, and April Payrolls – in the rearview, tension released on Friday, allowing for a relief…

The Week Behind Take a breath. The busiest week of earnings season is officially behind us, and the major indices all ended the week with gains. Solid earnings and a nearly in-line Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report gradually pushed stocks forward throughout the week. The Dow and S&P both rose approximately 0.85%, while the NASDAQ…

The Week Behind The first week of earnings did not reveal any significant revelations, which may explain why it was a slow week for the indices. I believe that the “business-as-usual” reporting week, along with the resilient economic data, supports the notion that the regional bank scare is contained and the economy can sustain further…

The Week Behind Although CPI and PPI figures indicated that inflation is on a downward trajectory, the earnings of big money center banks showed a healthy outlook, causing financial markets to lower their expectations regarding real-world tightening stemming from the regional bank scare. This suggests that more Fed-tightening will be necessary to control inflation, which…

The Week Behind As the week went on and economic reports came in soft, markets became increasingly confident March Payrolls would follow the trend, providing the Fed more reason to pause at their next meeting. As a result, the major indices put together a solid performance in the shortened week. The Dow added 1.9%, the…

The Week Behind In a relatively calm news week, regulators made meaningful progress in restoring banking confidence, and PCE showed that inflation remains in a downtrend. The good news on the banking front collided with positive developments on the inflation front, resulting in the major indices ending the week up by ~3.5%. Highlights Cool PCE …

The Week Behind In spite of a sloppy start to Friday’s session courtesy of bankruptcy fears surrounding Deutsche Bank, U.S. markets were able to recover after European markets closed, alleviating the primary source of selling pressure. All the major indices tallied off a week in the green. The DOW added 1.18%; the S&P gained 1.39%;…

The Week Behind Overall, last week did not reveal any incremental news on contagion stemming from Silicon Valley Bank (SVB). Now, markets are in wait-and-see mode to see if action taken will restore confidence in the banking system. The longer we go without another incident, the better the market will feel. This is a “no…