FlashNotes
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Happy Tuesday! Due to travel and Father’s Day, there wasn’t much time to write. However, with retail sales fresh in our minds and the FOMC tomorrow, I figured I’d add my 6 cents on 3 matters (2 cents per matter) that would’ve made the 9:25: Oil, the Fed, and Retail Sales.
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“Japan is a hospital. China is a jail. Europe is a museum. The U.S. is a business.” Why would you put your money to work elsewhere? Nick Colas, co-founder of DataTrek Research, summed it up perfectly. I believe he workshopped this quote from Lawrence Summers, who served as U.S. Treasury Secretary from 1999 to 2001.…
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The easiest arrow to land against stocks is that they’re too expensive. As reported by The Wall Street Journal, the S&P 500 began 2025 with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 24.7x trailing and 21.4x forward. These figures exceed the averages over the last 5 years (19.6), 10 years (18.1), 15 years (16.4), 20 years (15.8),…






