January 2025
-

While the USD and US10Y didn’t break, stocks welcomed last week’s breather. Donald Trump was inaugurated as President over the weekend, forcing us to revisit the “buy the election, sell the inauguration” trade. This edition of The 9:25 plays a game of “For Real or Fugazi?” on these topics. With earnings officially in full swing,…
-

“Japan is a hospital. China is a jail. Europe is a museum. The U.S. is a business.” Why would you put your money to work elsewhere? Nick Colas, co-founder of DataTrek Research, summed it up perfectly. I believe he workshopped this quote from Lawrence Summers, who served as U.S. Treasury Secretary from 1999 to 2001.…
-

The easiest arrow to land against stocks is that they’re too expensive. As reported by The Wall Street Journal, the S&P 500 began 2025 with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 24.7x trailing and 21.4x forward. These figures exceed the averages over the last 5 years (19.6), 10 years (18.1), 15 years (16.4), 20 years (15.8),…


