October 2024

  • 9:25 on 10/28/24 – Try Not To Blink

    Weekly Performance S&P 500 -0.96% Equal Weight S&P 500 (RSP) -1.92% NASDAQ -0.16% DOW -2.68% Russell 2000 (VTWO) -2.99% Talk of the Tape Despite solid earnings throughout the week, pressure from a rising U.S. 10-year yield kept a lid on stock prices. However, on Friday, yields eased, allowing many stocks to end the week on…

  • Freeport-McMoRan’s Strong Quarter: You Need To Know About Copper

    Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) delivered a strong quarter this morning. The headline everyone expected but needed to see: copper demand will increase as data center construction continues to rise. The stock is holding at $48, the same level it jumped to on the China-stimulus news. For those unfamiliar, copper and China’s economy are closely correlated I stand…

  • 3M Shares Reversal Despite Positive Earnings

    In premarket trading, 3M (MMM) shares rose as much as 5% after beating on the top- and bottom-line. After briefly surpassing $140, MMM reversed before stabilizing around the 50-day SMA. Back to the quarter: management offered more details on the restructuring. While a few business units are being considered for sale, none are significant enough…

  • Investing in Copper: Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) Earnings Preview

    As semiconductor demand continues to rise, the importance of copper – an integral component – has never been clearer. From Nvidia’s Blackwell to my Oral-B Toothbrush, semiconductors are impossible to escape. They’re in everything. While copper prices remain heavily influenced by China’s economy, the growing global demand for the metal makes it an essential part…

  • 3M’s Turnaround: 24Q3 Earnings Preview

    3M (MMM) struggled for years with lawsuits and managerial missteps. In May 2024, their board brought in William Brown as the new CEO to lead a turnaround. Last quarter, new management delivered faster-than-expected progress, triggering a significant gap higher. I entered the position a few weeks later (~$130), once it was clear the gap wasn’t…

  • 9:25 on 10/21/24 – Business is about to Pick Up

    Weekly Performance S&P 500 0.85% Equal Weight S&P 500 (RSP) 0.86% NASDAQ 0.80% DOW 0.96% Russell 2000 (VTWO) 1.87% Talk of the Tape Retail sales beat expectations, and Taiwan Semiconductor’s strong quarter eased demand concerns. The market drifted higher on a steady flow of positive news, growing comfortable with a 25 bps cut at the…

  • 24Q3 Earnings Season: Key Dates and Insights

    I’ve put together some visuals to help navigate the whirlwind that is earnings season. Here are a few standout insights: 1) Mark Your Calendar for October 28th: Due to some shuffling of the corporate calendar in the last few days, the week of October 28th will now feature all the mega-caps, making it THE week…

  • Netflix Advertising | Key Highlights from 24Q3 Earnings Call

    During last night’s earnings call, Netflix (NFLX) highlighted the growing momentum of its advertising business. With a captive audience and a deep data pool, advertisers are willing to pay up for access to the platform. Management is tracking toward the “critical ad subscriber scale” that will be essential for creating the reliable cash-flow stream long-term…

  • 24Q3 Earnings Season Insights: Key Dates and Takeaways

    I’ve put together some visuals to help navigate the whirlwind that is earnings season. Here are a few standout insights: 1) Mark Your Calendar for October 28th: 119 constituents making up a 38.5% weight of the index report, making it the most consequential week of earnings season. 2) The Lull Two weeks of relative calm…

  • 9:25 on 10/14/24 – A Good Start

    Weekly Performance S&P 500 1.11% Equal Weight S&P 500 (RSP) 1.15% NASDAQ 1.13% DOW 1.21% Russell 2000 (VTWO) 0.98% Talk of the Tape Although CPI was a touch warm, it wasn’t disastrous. The bullish trade following Friday’s earnings, headlined by JPM, is an additional indication of the market’s willingness to prioritize earnings and place inflation…