Let’s Not Make News Out Of Nothing

Markets look a little sluggish today as Powell meets with the House for the first day of the two-day Biannual Report on U.S. Monetary Policy. Tomorrow, Powell will conclude the biannual event with a meeting with the Senate.

While some attribute today’s weakness to related headlines, I disagree. In my opinion, Powell’s prepared remarks and testimony align with the message conveyed during June’s FOMC meeting.

Let’s not make news out of nothing. This feels like a rotation triggered by profit-taking:

  • Weakness is concentrated among year-to-date outperformers (tech).
  • Strength is concentrated in the year-to-date laggards (everything else).
  • The equal-weight S&P is outperforming the cap-weight S&P.
  • The Dow is outperforming the NASDAQ.

If this rotation continues, I believe the next significant trade will center on a “catch-up” thesis, which proposes that the relatively cooler sectors of the market will catch up to the hotter sectors, while the hotter sectors at least maintain their current levels.


Discover more from Gorilla With Glasses

Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *